Italy, Spain Yields Near Danger Levels On Fed Taper Talk
Tracking Treasury Rate Spike
Sovereign debt problem returns as negotiations stall on banking union
And central banks may not be willing or able to rein in yields either, putting the burden on elected officials to act.
On Friday, yields for 10-year bonds from Spain and Italy hit the highest levels since early April, prompting the finance chiefs from both countries to downplay the rise as temporary.
Reports that the International Monetary Fund could suspend Greek rescue payments added to the eurozone jitters. The IMF said there would be no financing problems as long as a progress review wraps up by late July.
.........
And with German elections in September, Chancellor Angela Merkel is unlikely to commit large sums of money to other countries.........
From the technical point of view, analyzing the stock markets with Elliott and Fibonacci patterns, we can see the following situations:
DJIA
First alternate scenario: Alt:4 of Alt:(c)
GERMAN DAX :
the wave in progress could be a sideways such as a triangle or a three a/w-b/x-c/y-d/x-e/z
the first alternate (1°Alt:) considers the top like the Cycle Top D .
the second alternate (2°Alt:) corresponds to the alternative long-term scenario shown in the weekly chart; we would be in Alt:(2) of Alt:I
LONDON FTSE 100
this is the stock market where my long-term Outlook has changed;
it could already have reached the Cycle Top D , with a Primary wave [C] = Fibonacci's extension 0.618 of wave [A] from [B]
First alternate; we are in irregular Alt:(2) so the Top is still far.
ZURICH SMI
Preferred scenario; still in uptrend of Primary degree; we are in wave a of wave (4) intermediate;
ITALIAN FTSEMIB
This is one of the weaker stock market in Eurozone.
Preferred scenario: we are in wave y of intermediate wave (x) of upward wave [C]/[Y] of Primary degree.
TOKYO NIKKEI
Preferred count: we are always in wave 4 minor of (c) intermediate;
Alternate count: we are in a new bearish wave of Primary degree.
Have a great weekend!
ElwaveSurfer
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