"All human activities have three distinctive features: pattern, time and ratio - all of which observe the Fibonacci Summation Series" (R.N. Elliott - "Nature's Law - the Secret of the Universe" - 1946)


Friday, May 17, 2013

SPX - Top of sub-minuette degree.

It's possible that the top of wave 3 was reached yesterday, now wave 4 of sub-minuette degree.
 
Alternate scenario; SPX has completed the 2°Alt:5 and the Alt:[3] (less likely the Alt:[c] ), so this down move has a minuette degree.
 
In any case, the uptrend is yet underway.
 
Have a great trading day ... with care!

ElwaveSurfer



Thursday, May 16, 2013

SPX - Still bullish but caution

Yesterday strange intraday movement but SPX rises and that's ok;
only the 2nd Alternate scenario is running out with the completion of 2°Alt:5 of [3] or Alt:[c]
We must increase the level of attention.

Have a great trading day ... with care!

ElwaveSurfer

 

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

SPX - Upward move resumes

The market has moved in line with expectations;
yesterday started the wave 3 (or 2nd Alt:5) of [3] (or Alt:[c] ) of a minute;
there is still room to rise.

Have a great trading day ... with care!

ElwaveSurfer



Tuesday, May 14, 2013

SPX - Slight correction before the new impulse

No news, just a sligth update; the correction in progress appears like a flat or a three in wave 2 or 2°Alt:4 .

Have a great trading day...with care!

ElwaveSurfer


Monday, May 13, 2013

SPX and DJIA scenarios converge

In a post 2 months ago, I wrote that the benchmark index to identify the potential Top of this Cycle is the DJIA and today I am more convinced than ever.
 
Preferred medium-term scenario: we are in the early stage of wave c minor of (y) intermediate of [Y] Primary.
First Alternate medium-term scenario: we are in the final stage of Alt:3 minor of Alt(c) of [Y] Primary.

 
SPX is in a corrective mode more complex than DJIA.
 
Preferred count: we are in wave 3 (or 5) of wave [3] minuette of a minute of z minor.
First Alternate count: we are in Alt:[c] of Alt:w of z minor.
 
Therefore, according to my point of viewthe main scenarios of these two Indices suggest that the uptrend is not yet over.
 

 
 
Have a great trading day...with care!

ElwaveSurfer

Saturday, May 11, 2013

Elliott Wave Analysis for major Currency pairs: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/USD, AUD/USD


In the FOREX page you can see the long-term scenario on weekly charts
and the previous short-term outlook on daily charts and on 4 hours charts.

-------------------------
USD/JPY

Main count: what's incredible impulsive wave!
Bullish: we are in wave [iii] of 3 minute of 5 minor of (3) intermediate of [1] Primary; target 105.60.





EUR/JPY

See the 240 minutes chart; there is a good buy point last Thursday May 9 on the breakout of the flat of wave 2 of 5 of (1) (or in alternate scenario, of the triangle Alt:4 of 5 ); target 139.





GBP/USD

Very interesting setup.
After the rebound of wave 2 minor , we should be in the impulsive wave 3 of (1) of [C] .




EUR/GBP

The alternate scenario prevails; it's likely the completion of the corrective downward wave  c/y of (b)/(x); this currency pair is looking for a support on the  50% Fibonacci's retracement; if it will be broken down,  drop at least until 0.828.





EUR/USD

Contrasted and unclear trend, with no interesting setup.
It's likely the completion of downward wave y of b/x .





AUD/USD

My main bullish scenario is been denied, the triangular wave [4] is not yet completed.
The down move of the last week gives preference to alternate bearish count, that considers wave of c of (e) in progress.





Have a great weekend ;-)

ElwaveSurfer

Friday, May 10, 2013

SPX - Correction of subminuette degree

Elliott wave count update:
SPX could have reached the top of wave 1 of [3] , so it's likely a pullback until 1614.
Even if the alternate scenario prevails, I think that Alt:[c] is not over.

Have a great trading day ... with care!

ElwaveSurfer




Thursday, May 9, 2013

SPX - Strong uptrend

The 3 wave of [3] of a continues.
Alt. scenario: 3 of Alt:[c] .

Have a great trading day ... with care!

ElwaveSurfer




Wednesday, May 8, 2013

SPX - Bullish mode

No temporary pullback.
New Preferred scenario (the old alternate): SPX is in the 3 of [3] of wave a of minute degree.
New Alternate scenario: we are in the Alt:2 of Alt:[b] of a .
So always bullish.
Have a great trading day ... with care!

ElwaveSurfer


Tuesday, May 7, 2013

SPX - Always in uptrend

The market remains set in a bullish mode, even if a temporary pullback is likely.
Preferred scenario: SPX has completed the a of [y] of a/w wave of minute degree.
Alternate scenario: the wave completed is the Alt:1 of Alt:[3] of a .
 
Have a great trading day ... with care!

ElwaveSurfer